Bleeding Green Nation
Gambling focused preview on Philadelphia’s upcoming opponent.
Steve Maltepes, known as “The Philly Godfather,” will impart his gambling wisdom on the Eagles and where the smart money is going on various pro football games each weekend this season. Maltepes is one of the nation’s hottest sports betting experts who appears weekly on national radio and has his own website, www.thephillygodfather.com [thephillygodfather.com].
What is the line telling you:
This line originally opened as the Eagles minus-6.5, with a combined total set at 47.5. Since then, the market has moved up a half of a point and dropped two points on the total for the Eagles. When it comes to the Eagles, they are playing some really good football lately. They beat the Giants, Browns, and a Bengals team many people thought had Super Bowl aspirations. Obviously, the Jags have been a major disappointment. They have lost six games, but if you look at the six games they lost, four of those six losses have come by five points or less. The early public action has been all over the Eagles, with 65% of every ticket punched in Las Vegas and offshore has been on my beloved Eagles. I have to give Jacksonville some credit. The Jags have played some very good teams very tough. If you noticed, favorites of seven points or more have not fared well this year. They cover only 30-percent of the time.
Bottom line:
The Eagles are overvalued in this game. The price is too high. I like the Jags plus 7.5 if you can get that.
A.J. Brown anytime touchdown, minus-105
A.J. Brown two touchdowns at 6-to-1
Detroit Lions (6-1) at Green Bay Packers (6-2), 4:25 p.m. Sunday
The Line: Lions minus-2.5/Total: 48.5
What is the line telling you:
This will be the best game to watch on the NFL card this weekend. You have to teams are viable Super Bowl candidates. Prior to the season, you had a Lions team that had a projected total wins at 10.5, and the Packers wer 9.5. It looks like both teams will go over that. I have a future on the Lions at 13-to-1 winning the Super Bowl.
Bottom line:
This matchup I like the Packers at 3 or better, if you can get that. Both teams defensively are ball hawks with a combined 34 takeaways: Detroit has 15 and the Packers have 19. You combined that with the weather reports coming in and you might look to go under the 48.5 total in this matchup. Detroit has played slightly better with a 54-point differential between them and the Packers, playing one less game. But the Packers are the healthier team with the healthier pass defense. I like the Packers plus-3 and I like them to win outright, so take them on the moneyline at plus-130. Pay attention to the weather...
