Crossing Broad
The Philadelphia Eagles are tied with the Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers as the biggest favorite on the point spread for Week 10 in the National Football League.
The Birds are a 7.5-point favorite for the trip to face the Dak Prescott-less Dallas Cowboys. The over/under sits at 43.5.
The Cowboys were already down for the count before Prescott got hurt last week, but now they’re in even worse shape with Cooper Rush about to take the offensive reins.
Dallas is one of the worst teams in the NFL against the spread at 2-6. Both of the spread covers came as underdogs, but they both occurred when the Cowboys were a dog of two and 2.5 points. The Cowboys have been an underdog of three or more points in each of the last three weeks and lost and failed to cover in all of those contests.
Detroit, San Francisco, and Atlanta all eclipsed the 20-point mark against the Cowboys, which is a tremendous sign for an Eagles offense that is starting to find its rhythm.
The Birds have scored 20, 28, 37, and 28 points in the last four weeks, but only the last two games have gone over. They are 4-4 to the over this season.
The trouble from the betting perspective has come when the Eagles have been a favorite of more than a touchdown. They didn’t cover last week as a 7.5-point home favorite against Jacksonville and didn’t cover the nine-point spread versus Cleveland, also at home. So there’s cause for concern that the Eagles won’t be able to blow out an opponent, at least when they’re expected to do so.
If the Eagles are going to run away with the game, Saquon Barkley will be the key. I know that’s not a stunning piece of analysis, but the Cowboys are one of five teams to allow double-digit touchdowns to opposing running backs.
The Cowboys let up 184 rushing yards to the Lions, gave up 223 yards on the ground to the 49ers, and the Falcons ran for 100 yards on them.
Barkley enters Sunday with three straight 100-yard rushing games, but he hasn’t recorded a 100-yard game against the Cowboys since Week 1 of the 2019 season. That’s seven straight matchups with Dallas in which he’s failed to hit the 100-yard mark. Saquon’s rushing-yard prop is the highest it’s been this season at over/under 91.5 and he’s -210 to score a touchdown, also his highest number.
He’s probably the most reliable player to trust from the betting side on either team since Dallas’ pass game is a mess, A.J. Brown is dinged up, and DeVonta Smith might attract more attention with Brown hampered by his latest injury. And when you look at the various props and odds on PA sports betting apps, keep in mind that the Eagles haven’t won in Dallas since 2017, the Super Bowl season. That was the game where the Birds picked off Dak three times and the offense ran...
