Gang Green Nation
I think it’s fair to say that the average New York Jets fan is probably not expecting a victory since the team announced that quarterback Justin Fields will miss the team’s week 3 game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Not only are the Buccaneers playing well with a 2-0 record, but the Jets will now be trotting out quarterback Tyrod Taylor as their starter, who might provide a higher floor than Fields but probably also provides a lower ceiling in a week that they could really use a plus performance.
Just how dire is it? To determine that, I figured I’d check the implied odds provided by Fanduel’s current moneyline (as of Wednesday at about 5:30PM EST). I don’t do this in order to encourage a bet, but rather because I figure the amount of data and resources at their disposal makes them more qualified to estimate the outcome of games than any of us. So what does the line suggest?
To start, Fanduel has the moneyline set at +260, meaning you can bet $100 on the Jets to win an additional $260. The implied odds of this line suggests Fanduel thinks the Jets have about a 28% chance of victory. Honestly, that’s probably higher than most Jets fans do, so we could choose to view this as a rosy prediction.
Beyond that, they have the spread at -6.5, meaning they expect the Jets to lose by a touchdown. They also have the over/under set at 44.5, meaning they expect a 26 to 19-ish kind of game if we put those two figures together. I don’t think most fans would sign up for a loss, but I think that’s likely a more competitive game than many expect.
While unlikely, these figures from Fanduel don’t exactly imply that the Jets are a lock to lose. Fans will just have to hope for a bit of an upset.
What do you think? Can the Jets pull out the win?
