Gang Green Nation
At 9:30 AM EST, the New York Jets will face off against the Denver Broncos in the league’s sole European game of the week. What this means is that the Jets will once again be on primetime television, hopefully looking to surprise the masses as they win their first game. But how likely does Fanduel think that is? As a reminder, I am not discussing this in order to encourage a bet, but rather because I figure the amount of data and resources at Fanduel’s disposal makes them more qualified to estimate the outcome of games than any of us.
To start, the Jets are (once again) the underdog. As of Saturday morning at 9AM EST, the Jets are +295, which just based on the eye sets them up as a massive underdog as that’s a line not typically seen in a football game between two professional entities. Using the implied odds, this means Fanduel has them as having a 25% chance of victory.
In line with that, the spread reflects a pretty big expected gap in points between the teams with a 7 point spread, implying they expect the Jets to lose by a touchdown. If we pair that with the over/under of 43.5, then that suggests they’re expecting a 25-18 game or thereabout.
But what do you think? Is Fanduel’s implied estimate reasonable or did they get something wrong?
