Windy City Gridiron
Earlier this week, we asked Chicago Bears fans to give us their prediction for how many passing yards Caleb Williams would have in the 2026 season. There was a nice split among the top two responses (full results below), but only 5% of respondents see him failing to crack the ever-elusive 4,000-yard mark.
With the Bears being the only franchise to never have a QB hit that 4k mark, it is a sore spot for some, but head coach Ben Johnson has always been a play caller who leaned into the run game, so I would not be surprised if Williams misses it again.
I’d love for it to happen, just to put the narrative to bed, but ultimately, all I really care about is the Dub.
That said, the recent props from our partners at FanDuel Sportsbook have Caleb’s over/under passing yards a bit on the low side, if you ask me.
Here’s how they have the NFC North quarterbacks ranked.
Detroit Lions, Jared Goff: Over 4050.5 (-114), Under 4050.5 (-114)
Chicago Bears, Caleb Williams: Over 3575.5 (-114), Under 3575.5 (-114)
Green Bay Packers, Jordan Love: Over 3525.5 (-114), Under 3525.5 (-114)
Yikes, the oddsmakers having Caleb’s over/under higher than Love’s is sure to trigger some cheeseheads!
As for the Minnesota Vikings, with the competition between Kyler Murray and J.J. McCarthy, the sportsbooks won’t set a number until one player wins the job. My guess is Murray wins the gig, and his number will be in the 3,500 ballpark, but if J.J. is named the starter, he’ll come in lower.
Besides the 4,000-yard passing milestone, the Bears have also never had a QB throw for 30 or more touchdowns. FanDuel doesn’t think Caleb will hit that this year either. Here are the NFC North props for passing TDs.
Jared Goff: Over 29.5 (-114), Under 29.5 (-114)
Jordan Love: Over 24.5 (-102), Under 24.5 (-130)
Caleb Williams: Over 24.5 (+100), Under 24.5 (-132)
As for the Williams’ props, give me the over on both yards and touchdowns!
