Week 5 Preview: Can the Browns Cure Our Blues?

Week 5 Preview: Can the Browns Cure Our Blues?
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Recapping the Recap

First, a note on my last article. Born out of necessity due to being swamped early in the week, I decided to try something different and offer some quick “snap judgments.” It seemed to be a mixed bag.

The benefits of this approach are simple: you catch the raw, the visceral – the sentiments that define being a fan. Of course, as a follower of the Minnesota Vikings, this often is accompanied by feelings of perpetual dread, worst-case scenarios unfolding, and the predictable sense of, “Here we go again.”

It puts a spotlight on the emotional rollercoaster. From crashing down from the high of J.J. McCarthy’s brilliant fourth-quarter comeback in Week 1 to the prospect of being 2-2 during the “easiest” stretch of the schedule, with uncertainty over the status of our center and right tackle moving forward, to suddenly having more question marks than the décor at the Riddler’s house, we run the gamut.

(NOTE: In typical Vikings’ fashion, we get good news on O’Neill’s injury (no IR) but then hit with the Van Ginkel neck injury news. My wife and I joke that many of the funny, awkward, and uncomfortable situations in everyday life can be traced to an episode of Seinfeld. So too can bad football news and Vikings precedent. I surely wasn’t alone in being instantly transported back to 2020, Zimmer’s infamous, dismissive “tweak” comment about Danielle Hunter’s neck issue, and the subsequent zero snaps Hunter ended up taking that season.)

The downside of this “snap judgment” approach? You draw conclusions from incomplete data, which is always a perilous proposition. Upon reviewing more detailed game clips, content here at the DN, and posts from other Vikings-related social media accounts, the picture becomes clearer. Or, should I say, “balanced” — as in there’s plenty of blame to go around.

Whatever narrative one wishes to embrace as to our struggles, there’s video evidence to support it. Is Carson Wentz holding the ball too long, too frequently? Yes. After review, were there indeed quick, shorter routes open? Yes. Were some rendered ineffective as primary read(s) were longer developing? Sure. Has KOC been criticized too harshly? Perhaps. Has the offensive line played poorly? Yes. Are they still struggling to block stunts? Absolutely. Have there been inexcusable breakdowns in basic protections? Yes. Have injuries exacerbated all of these factors? Duh.

Just the Facts

These are the statistical realities:

  • Not counting defensive touchdowns, for which the offense has no input, the Vikings are averaging 17.7 points and 284.5 total yards per contest over the past six games that mattered (dating to Week 18 last season against the Lions).
  • So far this season, the Vikings are 30th in the NFL in third-down conversion rate (30.61%).
  • They’re 27th in offensive EPA/play (-0.09)
  • Per Alec Lewis of The Athletic, the Vikings’ 13.1% sack rate through four games is the fourth highest of any team since the Next Gen Stats began tracking it in 2018.
  • The Vikings are...