Week 10 NFL picks: Will Rams get first divisional win?

Week 10 NFL picks: Will Rams get first divisional win?
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Three of my four losses in Week 9 featured one score games with the Lions, Packers, and Chiefs all losing. Moving into the Week 10 games, 6 of the 14 matchups will be divisional games. The NFC continues to be dominated by five teams (Philadelphia Eagles, Los Angeles Rams, Detroit Lions, Green Bay Packers, and the Seattle Seahawks). But the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and San Francisco 49ers are dangerous in their own right. Will there be a new projected playoff order after this week? Here are my predictions for the full Week 10 slate.

Week 9 picks: 10-4, Cumulative picks: 82-51-1 (.615)

Week 10 Matchups & Predictions

(Thursday) Las Vegas Raiders @ Denver Broncos, 8:15 PM EST

These two teams are trending in opposite directions with Las Vegas looking desperate for answers across their roster. Meanwhile, Denver keeps winning in close games, but I don’t think this will be one of those.

Pick: Broncos win 27-17

Atlanta Falcons @ Indianapolis Colts (Berlin, Germany) 9:30 AM EST

Both the Falcons and Colts are coming off losses in Week 9. My concern with Atlanta is that Bijan Robinson has not been able to be unleashed to his full ability. The Colts were shut down by a Steelers defense that took away Jonathan Taylor and tested Daniel Jones to beat them with his arm.

Give me Indianapolis winning a close one in Germany.

Pick: Colts win 23-20

New York Giants @ Chicago Bears, 1:00 PM EST

The Giants are going to struggle over the remaining schedule with missing starters. It does not help that they are one of the most undisciplined teams in the NFL. Chicago is not a great NFC team but they will find a way to get a win at home.

Pick: Bears win 27-20

Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins, 1:00 PM EST

The Bills have found their identity with the combination of Josh Allen’s playmaking and James Cook providing explosiveness in the run game. We saw what Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry did to Miami on Thursday Night Football against these same Dolphins.

Pick: Bills win 36-17

Baltimore Ravens @ Minnesota Vikings, 1:00 PM EST

The Vikings pulled a fast one and upset the Lions last week at Detroit nonetheless. I see Lamar Jackson presenting a new problem for Brian Flores – mobility, something Jared Goff lacks.

Pick: Ravens win 28-20

Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets, 1:00 PM EST

The battle of the NFL’s “finest”. The winner of this game will likely ruin any opportunity for a first overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft. The New York Jets just traded two of their best pieces: Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams, leaving their defense even more vulnerable.

Pick: Browns win 23-14

New England Patriots @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1:00 PM EST

For the record, Drake Maye is not an MVP candidate. He’s a very good quarterback in 2026, but he is not in the stratosphere of Josh Allen and Matthew Stafford. This will be an intriguing game because...