Super Bowl Picks 2025: Four props for Chiefs vs. Eagles

Super Bowl Picks 2025: Four props for Chiefs vs. Eagles
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From favorites to plus money longshots, consider these props as you wager on Super Bowl LIX.

The biggest betting event of the year is here. Longshot props, squares, or just straight cash at a friend’s Sunday get-together will have us all screaming for and getting wildly disappointed over teams we have absolutely no rooting interest in. And isn’t that the true spirit of Super Bowl weekend?

As we’ve heard about ad nauseam the last two weeks, this is the second time in three years the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles are squaring off for the Lombardi Trophy. To state the obvious, this will surely factor into a number of props, as will the historical factors at play: Saquon’s quest for the playoff rushing record, the Chiefs’ quest for a three-peat, and even the first halftime show to include up to three diss tracks!

The wager options are endless and we’re here to give you a few of our favorite bets of the week, from quirky, under-the-radar props to run-of-the-mill, every-week picks. Let’s jump in below with the odds from Fanduel.


Mahomes Longest Rush over 13.5 yards (-114)

In four Super Bowl appearances, Patrick Mahomes has rushed for: 29, 33, 44, and 66 yards. We know he can scoot, and he’s shown it again and again these playoffs by more than doubling his scramble rate. With the Eagles’ lack of blitzes (only 19% of dropbacks) and their comfortability sitting back in zone coverage (bottom five in man coverage rate), Mahomes should be able to break off one or two impact runs.

Bettors will remember the nightmare that unfolded at the end of Super Bowl LIV with Mahomes’ rushing over, as three end-of-game kneeldowns brought his total down from 44 to 29 yards.

We’ll try to avoid that same scenario here and try something a little safer, going with Mahomes longest rush over 13.5 yards, a mark he’s hit in three of his four Super Bowls.

Nolan Smith over 0.5 sacks (+108)

Can the Chiefs’ offensive line handle the constant barrage from the Eagles’ front seven? The question has been batted around ad nauseam for two weeks now, so we won’t relitigate it here, but it just may be the key to cashing this prop as the Chiefs have allowed a mediocre 2.4 sacks per game.

Nolan Smith is on fire right now, recording four sacks in the playoffs, nearly reaching his regular season total of 6.5. Lining up against Jawaan Taylor, who’s allowed the most pressure on the Chiefs this season, should give Smith the speed advantage needed to get the edge and take down Mahomes at least once.

Either Team to Kick Game Winning Walk Off Field Goal At the End of Regulation (+1200)

Looking for bragging rights this Sunday? The privilege to stand up at the party and annoyingly claim “I KNEW that would happen!”? Look no further than this +1200 prop from Fanduel. The rationale here is simple. This projects to be a...