Hogs Haven
The Commanders’ Week 9 meeting with the Seattle Seahawk was a pivotal moment for their season. Unfortunately, but not unexpectedly, the game pivoted in the wrong direction.
Their third consecutive loss by three or more touchdowns brings their record to 3-6. To finish the season with a winning record, they will need six of the remaining eight games, which include matchups with four teams with five or more wins. The injuries to star QB Jayden Daniels, starting CB Marshon Lattimore and WR/KR Luke McCaffrey make that exceedingly unlikely.
While a few diehards, like Hogs Haven’s Bill in Bangkok, might hold out hope until the Boys in Burgundy and Gold are mathematically eliminated from the playoffs, most of us will recognize that it is time to declare defeat and turn our attention back to the franchise rebuild, which is still only in its second year.
For those hearty souls with an appetite for a post mortem on the Commanders’ 14-38 loss to the Seattle Seahawks, here is my weekly summary of who got playing time, where they lined up, who stepped up (yes, a few players did), and whose play left room for improvement.
A Note on Stats Sources
Stats were sourced from the NFL, Pro Football Reference (PFR), Pro Football Focus (PFF), or ESPN. NFL official stats were used whenever available. When the source is not indicated, it means either than NFL official stats were used or that there was agreement between stats service.. The source is indicated when there was disagreement between services or if the stat is only available from one source (eg. PFF: stops, run stops, Y/RR, QB hurries). QBR is proprietary to ESPN.
Expected Points Added (EPA) quantifies the contribution of individual plays to a team’s scoring potential on a drive. These are all the plays with EPA greater than 2 or less than -2.
Biggest Plays for the Commanders
Q2, 1:04, 3rd and 5 at SEA 13: Jayden Daniels scrambles right end for 12 yards. EPA 3.15
Q2, 15:00, 4th and 1 at WAS 42: Jayden Daniels pass complete short right to John Bates for 10 yards. EPA 2.98
Q4, 7:17, 3rd and 4 at SEA 4: Chris Rodriguez up the middle for 4 yards, touchdown. EPA 2.51
Q4, 8:46, 3rd and 6 at SEA 13: Jayden Daniels pass complete short left to Jaylin Lane for 7 yards. EPA 2.15
Q2, 6:56, 4th and 6 at WAS 24: Tress Way punts 63 yds, downed by Jared Ivey at SEA 13 yd line. EPA: 2.09 Q3, 9:17, 3rd and 4 at SEA 46: Sam Darnold pass short middle intended for Cody White is intercepted by Mike Sainristil at WAS-47 and returned for no gain. EPA -3.22
Biggest Plays for the Seahawks
Q2, 4:44, 1st and 10 at SEA 40: Sam Darnold pass complete short right to Cody White for 60 yards, touchdown. EPA 5.4
Q2, 8:57, 3rd and 8 at WAS 25: Sam Darnold pass complete deep right to Tory...
