Ramalytics: How did Matthew Stafford fare against the Eagles last season?

The Eagles stand in the Rams’ way of another Super Bowl run. Can Matthew Stafford get them over the hump?

The Los Angeles Rams head into the 2025 season with Super Bowl expectations. Last year’s world champions, the Philadelphia Eagles, against stand firmly in LA’s way of making it back to the big game.

Let’s take a look at Matthew Stafford’s individual play in two games last year against Philly. Can the veteran quarterback help the Rams get over the hump this season?

Data from Pro Football Focus (PFF)

ADOT - Average depth of target

TTT - Time-to-throw

Week 12 vs Eagles:

42 drop backs, 24/36 (66.7% completion)

243 yards, 2 TD’s, 0 INT’s, 1 fumble, passer rating of 104.3

72.4 OFF, 69.2 Pass, 29.6 fumble

3 big-time throws, 1 turnover-worthy plays, 6.5 ADOT, 2.49 TTT

One key note is that Philly pressured Stafford 13 times in this game for five sacks. The pressure value is towards the upward middle when sorting from most to least on the season; however, this was the most Stafford was sacked across 2024. 38.5% of pressures converted to sacks, which was the third-highest mark on the season. The playoff game in Philadelphia ranked fourth at 27.8%. This could mean the Eagles excelled at getting quick pressures on the quarterback, their coverage was tight on the backend, and/or that Stafford wasn’t mitigating pressure effectively.

Divisional game at Eagles:

50 drop backs, 26/44 (59.1% completion)

324 yards, 2 TD’s, 0 INT’s, 2 fumbles, passer rating of 97.2

57.2 OFF, 63.3 Pass, 23.2 fumble

1 big-time throw, 4 turnover-worthy plays, 11.0 ADOT, 2.63 TTT

There was only one other game where Stafford committed four turnover-worthy plays (TWP) and that was Week 9 at the Seattle Seahawks. Stafford threw only one interception in this game and didn’t have one versus Philly. I’d call that good turnover luck while understanding outcomes could have been far worse in each game.

Can Stafford get the Rams over the hump in 2025?

In two games against the Eagles last season, Stafford finished with:

4 TD’s, 0 INT’s, 3 fumbles

4 big-time throws, 5 turnover-worthy plays

Even though the box score suggests that Stafford took care of the ball against Philadelphia, he was fortunate and the beneficiary of dropped interceptions. Pair this turnover variance with how often Kyren Williams fumbled against the Eagles and this becomes a major concern in regards to the team’s ability to take down Goliath and make it to the Super Bowl in 2025.

If the Rams are going to beat the Eagles and take the NFC, they will need Stafford to (1) take better care of the football and (2) mitigate pressure and not take sacks. If the LA defense continues it’s upward trajectory, the offense must put them in a position to succeed by not turning the ball over.