Projection shows New York Giants as underdog in every game on 2025 schedule

Well, that isn’t promising

On Sunday, I posted reasons to be optimistic that a quick turnaround from a 3-14 2024 season is possible for the New York Giants in 2025. Well, Pro Football Network has a big reason to think such a turnaround is unlikely to happen.

PFN simulated the season 10,000 and does not come up with a single game it expects the Giants to win during the 2025 season.

PFN, in fact sees only two games — at the New England Patriots and at the New Orleans Saints — where its simulations give the Giants a chance to win of 40% or more.

Here is the full list:

Minnesota Vikings (27.10%)
@ Las Vegas Raiders (36.80%)
San Francisco 49ers (28.50%)
@ Dallas Cowboys (31.30%)
@ Detroit Lions (7.70%)
Los Angeles Chargers (35.40%)
@ New Orleans Saints (45.10%)
Green Bay Packers (20.20%)
@ Washington Commanders (14.60%)
Philadelphia Eagles (18.80%)
Kansas City Chiefs (17.40%)
Washington Commanders (21.60%)
@ New England Patriots (43.80%)
@ Philadelphia Eagles (11.90%)
@ Chicago Bears (35.40%)
@ Denver Broncos (18.80%)
Dallas Cowboys (38.20%)

PFN’s early projection for the Giants is 4.5 wins, likely not nearly good enough for head coach Brian Daboll to keep his job. It might be the kind of year that sees GM Joe Schoen go out the door, too.

When I wrote my post detailing reasons for optimism, I did not predict that all of those things would happen. Just that they could happen.

That is because we haven’t yet seen what will take place this offseason. It is why everything — this projection from PFN, my reasons for optimism — must be taken with a grain of salt right now.

The roster-building season doesn’t truly begin until free agency opens next month. We have no idea who will be quarterbacking the Giants, how Schoen will allocate free agent dollars or who he might trade for.

We have no idea what decisions any team on the Giants’ schedule will make.

This projection is certainly a pessimistic one. I’m curious what it might look like after free agency and the draft are completed and we are heading into training camp.