Packers’ rest differential is nearly even in 2025, but there’s a big 1st/2nd half split

Packers’ rest differential is nearly even in 2025, but there’s a big 1st/2nd half split
Acme Packing Company Acme Packing Company

Fitting with the overall vibes on the schedule, Green Bay gets some breaks early but will get the short end of the rest equation over the second half.

The Green Bay Packers’ 2025 schedule is finally here, and as we at Acme Packing Company have discussed, it’s going to be a challenge.

Earlier this morning, we discussed which part of the schedule will be the hardest, ultimately struggling to split hairs between 4-game stretches in November and December. One of the reason to lean towards November is a rough patch in terms of rest, with the Packers playing four games in just 18 days.

Despite that tough few weeks, the Packers’ rest differential for this season actually is nearly even with their opponents. All told, Green Bay will have either one or two days fewer rest than opposing teams when totaling up everything over the entire season. Yes, the Packers play two games on Thursdays, including the one against the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving Day, but both of those opponents have short weeks as well, balancing out the equation for those weeks.

Normally, however, a Thursday game means a mini-bye afterwards, giving a team a few days of an edge over their next opponent. As we’ll see shortly, that is only the case following one of the team’s two Thursday games. In fact, the perception of the Packers’ schedule having an easy first half and a tough second half split is made that much more clear when adding the rest variable into the analysis.

Here’s a look at the rest differential in each of the Packers’ games this season. Positive numbers indicate that the Packers have more rest than their opponents, while negative numbers indicate that they have less rest.

  1. Sunday vs. Lions: neutral
  2. Thursday night vs. Commanders: neutral (WAS vs. NYG previous Sunday)
  3. Sunday @ Browns: +3 (CLE @ BAL previous Sunday)
  4. Sunday night @ Cowboys: neutral (DAL @ CHI previous Sunday)
  5. BYE WEEK
  6. Sunday vs. Bengals: +7 (CIN vs. DET previous Sunday)
  7. Sunday @ Cardinals: neutral (ARI @ IND previous Sunday)
  8. Sunday night @ Steelers: -3 (PIT @ CIN previous Thursday)
  9. Sunday vs. Panthers: neutral (CAR vs. BUF previous Sunday)
  10. Monday night vs. Eagles: -7 (PHI has bye previous week)
  11. Sunday @ Giants: -1 (NYG @ CHI previous Sunday)
  12. Sunday vs. Vikings: neutral (MIN vs. CHI previous Sunday)
  13. Thanksgiving Day @ Lions: neutral (DET vs. NYG previous Sunday)
  14. Sunday vs. Bears: +1 (CHI @ PHI previous Friday)
  15. Sunday @ Broncos: neutral (DEN @ LV previous Sunday)
  16. Saturday @ Bears: neutral (CHI vs. CLE previous Sunday)
  17. Saturday OR Sunday vs. Ravens: +1 (BAL vs. NE previous Sunday)
  18. Saturday OR Sunday vs. Vikings: -2 or -3 (MIN @ DET previous Thursday/Christmas Day)

In total, the Packers’ net rest differential ends up being minus-one or minus-two days, depending on when their week 17 game takes place. However, the early/late split is

First of...