Acme Packing Company
If you’re new to this series, we’re reviewing how the Green Bay Packers offense performed in 2025 by situation. We’re doing that by building out a call sheet, which I ran down in my initial post. This is the 10th article in the series, where we’re looking at the Low Red Zone. Generally I look at the Low Red Zone as plays between the opponent’s 1-10 yard line, but I wanted to break it down 1 step further this year and bring in a goal line section. Based on some research, I’ve decided that the goal line package should start at the 3 yard line. So, today, we’re looking at Low Red Zone Non-Goal Line (4-10 yard line). In our next post, we’ll look at the goal line.
The Packers averaged 2.4 plays per game in this area of the field in 2025, tied for 13th in the league. While their goal line offense comes out looking pretty good, this area of the field was a struggle. Their Success Rate of 46.8% was 16th (right in the middle of the pack), but their TD Rate of 12.8% was 28th in the league. TD Rate in this area isn’t necessarily an indicator of good offenses (the Raiders led the league in TD Rate with 38.2%), you’d like to see more production.
If we’re just talking volume stats, the Packers scored 6 TDs in this area of the field in 2025, tied for 28th in the league. The top team was the Jaguars, who scored 19 TDs in this area. That’s 13 more TDs!
If you want to be a good red zone scoring team, you need 1 of these 3 things:
1. A freak at WR who you can just throw up some 50/50 balls to,
2. A good running game, or
3. A QB who is a running threat
There are, of course, other factors, but the best Red Zone scoring teams in the league generally have at least 1 of those things. That’s especially true outside the goal line. Watson fits the bill of point #1, but he missed half the season. The run game wasn’t great this year, and Love – while a solid scrambler – isn’t the quick-twitch type of runner who can thrive in this area. Provided everyone stays healthy, I think they’ll be a much better team in this area of the field in 2026, but 2025 didn’t see the Packers at their best.
We’re looking at 3 plays this week. In this area of the field last year, the Packers had a pass rate of 48.9%, 26th in the league. While normally that’s something I’d frown at, there’s a good reason for that. They had a 32% success rate while passing and a 66.7% success rate while running. However, they had a 20% TD rate while passing and an 8.3% TD rate while running.
So I opted to split the difference. We’ve got 1 pass, 1 run and 1 RPO.
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