NFL Week 7 betting advice: Giants-Broncos picks and props

Welcome to the New York Giants betting angle, Week 7 edition! Each week, I’m giving you my three favorite wagers for that week’s New York Giants game. My one rule: I won’t ever give you wagers that are less than -120. No gimmes!

The 2-4 Giants have to be feeling great about themselves after their 34-17 dismantling of the Super Bowl champion Eagles at MetLife Stadium last Thursday. The Jaxson Dart/Cam Skattebo vibes had the stadium rocking and were contagious. As an added bonus, they come into this week’s game at the Denver Broncos with three extra days to rest and prepare.

The 4-2 Broncos, on the other hand, can’t be feeling all that great about themselves after their weekend trip to London. They barely survived against the Jets 13-11, in one of the ugliest games of the last decade. The Broncos sacked Justin Fields nine times, held New York to -10 net passing yards and an unfathomable 1.4 yards per play, and still came uncomfortably close to losing the game. Bo Nix and the rest of Denver’s offense struggled to sustain drives and score points, but their #2-ranked defense made the difference.

The line this week is Denver -7, with a game total of 40.5.

My picks were 1-2 last week, so I’ve had two losing weeks in a row following three winning weeks in a row. Let’s right the ship!

Here are this week’s picks. All lines and odds are from Fanduel and are as of Friday, October 17.

1. Game total UNDER 40.5 (-118). No Malik Nabers? No problem. No Darius Slayton? No Problem. The Big Blue offense had success on the ground and through the air against Philadelphia. That was then, and this is now. Denver’s defense is the real deal, and has allowed just six TDs in six games. They’ve been especially good at neutralizing the rushing of running QBs, which has been Dart’s calling card. They’ve also got a ferocious pass rush, led by NFL sack leader Nik Bonitto. You know who else can pressure the passer? The Giants and Brian Burns (who is second to Bonitto in sacks), and the rest of the defense is also playing very well right now, while Nix and crew are struggling. I foresee an ugly, low-scoring game.

• Fourth quarter spread DEN -1.5 (-110). Not only is the Broncos’ defense ranked #2 overall so far this season in both points and yards allowed, but they’re the #2 fourth quarter scoring defense as well, at just 2.3 points yielded per game in the final period. Their defense wears you down and doesn’t relent, plus they’ve played a lot of close games. Two weeks ago, they shut down the Eagles at Philadelphia in the fourth quarter while completing a big comeback win. The case for the Giants would be Denver getting out to a big lead, and the Giants scoring garbage-time points at the end. I like the Giants to stay close enough, and for Denver to continue being...