We got another upset on the NFL schedule on Sunday, with the Miami DOlphins stunning the Buffalo Bills. It;s a reminder as we make our NFL picks this week that the 2025 NFL season has been pretty unpredictable and that coould prove to be the case once again as we looking ahead to the upcoming slate.
Let’s dive into our NFL Week 11 Predictions, delivering picks and score projections for every game on the NFL schedule this coming week.
The Garrett Wilson injury (knee) is just another factor working against the New York Jets in this Thursday Night Football matchup. Making things worse for the Jets, they are facing a New England Patriots team that has allowed the fewest rushing yards per game (79.2) this season and the second-lowest yards per carry (3.8). If all of that isn’t enough to make this a bad matchup for New York, with its issues defending deep passes, New England has all the advantages to win this one comfortably.
The Miami Dolphins are riding high after Sunday’s win versus the Bills, and they now have a golden opportunity to make it consecutive victories. That’s in large part because defensively, the Washington Commanders are surrendering 38.5 points and 451.3 total yards per game over the last month, with the highest yards-per-play average allowed (7.37) in the NFL. Without Terry McLaurin and Jayden Daniels, there’s not remotely enough teeth to the Commanders’ offense to put up a competitive fight. It should be a great Sunday for Tua Tagovailoa and the Dolphins.
The Atlanta Falcons will certainly try to follow the same game plan that opponents have recently used against the Carolina Panthers: stacking the box to contain Rico Dowdle and forcing Bryce Young to beat them. Atlanta will also have to sell out to defend the run, given it is allowing the fourth-most rushing yards per game (124.4) this season. Even if Dowdle is successful, Atlanta can attack a Panthers defense that has allowed the fourth-most receiving yards (704) to tight ends this season. We’ll also note Bijan Robinson could take advantage of Carolina, given it has allowed 157 rushing yards per game with a 4.9 yards-per-carry average in the last three weeks. The Falcons’ skill-player talent wins out in this game.
The Buffalo Bills and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are both coming off tough losses, making the stakes for this Week 11 matchup higher since the defeated team will be 6-4 and then battling for a wild card spot. What Tampa Bay hasn’t had this season without Bucky Irving is the rushing attack to exploit the biggest vulnerability of the Bills defense (153.2 rush ypg allowed, most in the NFL). On the other hand, Buffalo’s receiving corps might not win a ton of matchups against Tampa Bay’s secondary. Ultimately, with the Buccaneers missing their top...