Blogging The Boys
The year is officially over, and so is the 2025 fantasy season, as things wrapped up this past weekend. The Dallas Cowboys had several key players who made a big impact this year. In fact, most of them outperformed their fantasy projections. Oddly enough, the one who didn’t had been a fantasy mainstay for the last few years. With the fantasy season in the books, we thought we’d look back and see how the key Cowboys’ players performed.
Projection: QB13 4,255 yards, 28 TDs, 12 INTs, 291.3 fantasy points,
Actual: QB5 4,482 yards, 30 TDs, 10 INTs, 323.1 fantasy points
Dak Prescott outperformed his draft position and finished as a top-five fantasy quarterback this season. If you were a Dak owner (raises hand), congrats, not only did you have a great fantasy QB, but you likely got him at a discount. That’s because he was coming off a down year where his season was cut short from injury, and people suddenly just forgot how good he can be. In fact, recency bias is so strong that this has been the case with Prescott over the last several years. When he’s coming off a good year, he’s expensive. When he’s coming off a down year, he’s dirt cheap. And when he’s healthy, he’s a fantasy stud. When he’s not, he’s not. When Dak plays at 75% of the games, he’s going to have over 4,000 yards passing, 30+ TDs, and finish as a top-seven scoring fantasy quarterback. This has been a true statement since 2019.
Not only did Prescott benefit from an improved offensive scheme thanks to moving away from Mike McCarthy and having Brian Schottenheimer and Klayton Adams run the show, but he also benefited from having a fantastic second wide-receiving weapon in George Pickens, who we’ll get to shortly. The Cowboys finished the fantasy season with the fourth-highest scoring offense, and Prescott finished with 4,482 passing yards, the most in the NFL. It wasn’t that hard to predict a strong fantasy season
There is a very simple process to owning Prescott. If you can get a good value, pounce. If he’s too pricey, pass. Prescott’s recent injury history makes him a bit risky to pay a higher price, but he’s proven he’s a valuable commodity when healthy. Since he’s coming off a strong season, expect his price to be higher next year.
Projection: RB32 642 rushing yards, 220 receiving yards, 5 total TDs, 133.8 fantasy points
Actual: RB11 1,201 rushing yards, 137 receiving yards, 13 total TDs, 225.3 fantasy points
In one of the biggest fantasy surprises, free agent running back Javonte Williams blew away his draft projection and just barely missed finishing as a top 10 fantasy running back. When you look at the data, it’s easy to understand why he was undervalued. The Cowboys’ rushing offense last year was one of the worst in the league, and Williams himself came with questions. Plus, the addition of Miles Sanders and rookie Jaydon...
