Looking at offseason moves and reading some tea leaves
A couple of weeks ago, we took at how the Green Bay Packers’ offense operated in 2024 and some of the ways that differed from 2023. It was a fun article to write, but I really only wrote it so I could get to this one. Today, we’re looking at what the 2025 Packers offense may look like. I’m glad to be getting this down in writing because it’s been rattling around in my brain since the draft.
First, a high-level review of what we looked at in that last article. Under Matt LaFleur, the Packers have been one of the league leaders in the use of condensed formations, with each year seeing the formation width get tighter. They primarily operate out of 11 and 12 personnel, leaning more towards 11 personnel (in 2024, they were in 11 personnel on 67.1% of their plays and 12 personnel on 24.6% of their plays, per SumerSports).
Based on what we’ve seen under LaFleur, it makes sense for that to continue. Since LaFleur was named head coach in 2019, the Packers offense has only landed outside of the top 10 of offensive DVOA once (they were 12th in 2022). They ranked 4th last year. If it ain’t broke, and so on.
Even with that, there are reasons to believe we may see a shift in their offensive approach in 2024. We’ll start with the offensive line.
When they were healthy, the Packers' preferred offensive line in 2024 was (from left to right), Rasheed Walker, Elgton Jenkins, Josh Myers, Sean Rhyan and Zach Tom. For the moment, let’s assume Walker and Tom are the starting tackles in 2025 and just focus on the interior of the line.
In 2024, the average weight of the interior of the line was 314 pounds. Going into 2025, we know the plan is to have Aaron Banks at left guard and Elgton Jenkins at center. The right guard spot is still up in the air, but I’m assuming they’d prefer Anthony Belton to win that job. If that happens, the average weight of the interior of the line in 2025 would be 324 pounds: a full 10 pounds heavier than 2024.
Beyond the weight, you’ve got dudes in there that can pull effectively in the run game. Of the 2024 group, Jenkins was far and away the best puller in that group. For all his faults in pass protection, Myers could move, but wasn’t always a great blocker in space. Rhyan was merely fine. By moving Jenkins to center and adding Banks and Belton, you’re adding two big boys who can move people in the run game and are effective as pullers.
So, the line goes from “a perfectly fine line who had trouble creating movement at the point of attack” to “hefty line of effective pullers who can create movement at the point of attack.”
Now, to the receivers. The Packers went into 2024 with a promising group...