Not very
Finding the right quarterback to lead your franchise isn’t easy.
In a recent post, we detailed how only 38.8% of quarterbacks drafted in Round 1 have reached ‘solid starter,’ ‘franchise’ or ‘Hall of Fame’ caliber. On Day 2 of the draft (Rounds 2 and 3) we detailed how only five of 32 quarterbacks drafted during that time period (15.6%) reached at least ‘solid starter’ status.
So, how about Day 3?
The story of Tom Brady being a sixth-round pick is legendary. Brock Purdy having been selected as Mr. Irrelevant is the latest late-round quarterback success story.
Still, how realistic is it to draft a quarterback on Day 3 and end up with a player who fills, at least, the ‘solid starter’ description?
Below, the breakdown of quarterbacks selected on Day 3 since 2010.
Day 3 QBs (since 2010)
2010
Round 4
No. 122 — Mike Kafka (Philadelphia Eagles)
Round 5
No. 155 — John Skelton (Arizona Cardinals)
No. 168 — Jonathan Crompton (San Diego Chargers)
Round 6
No. 176 — Rusty Smith (Tennessee Titans)
No. 181 — Dan LeFevour (Chicago Bears)
No. 204 — Tony Pike (Carolina Panthers)
Round 7
No. 209 — Levi Brown (Buffalo Bills)
No. 239 — Sean Canfield (New Orleans Saints)
No. 250 — Zac Robinson (New England Patriots)
Drafted: 9
Solid starters or above: 0
2011
Round 4
None
Round 5
No. 135 — Ricky Stanzi (Kansas City Chiefs)
No. 152 — T.J. Yates (Houston Texans)
No. 160 — Nathan Enderle (Chicago Bears)
Round 6
No. 180 — Tyrod Taylor (Baltimore Ravens)
Round 7
No. 208 — Greg McElroy (New York Jets)
Drafted: 5
Solid starters or above: 0
Low-end career: 1 (Taylor)
2012
Round 4
No. 102 — Kirk Cousins (Washington)
Round 5
None
Round 6
No. 185 — Ryan Lindley (Arizona Cardinals)
Round 7
No. 243 — B.J. Coleman (Green Bay Packers)
No. 253 — Chandler Harnish (Indianapolis Colts)
Drafted: 4
Solid starters or above: 1 (Cousins)
2013
Round 4
No. 98 — Matt Barkley (Philadelphia Eagles)
No. 110 — Ryan Nassib (New York Giants)
No. 112 — Tyler Wilson (Oakland Raiders)
No. 115 — Landry Jones (Pittsburgh Steelers)
Round 5
None
Round 6
None
Round 7
No. 221 — Brad Sorenson (San Diego Chargers)
No. 234 — Zac Desert (Denver Broncos)
No. 237 — B.J. Daniels (San Francisco 49ers)
No. 249 — Sean Renfree (Atlanta Falcons)
Drafted: 8
Solid starters or above: 0
2014
Round 4
No. 120 — Logan Thomas (Arizona Cardinals)
No. 135 — Tom Savage (Houston Texans)
Round 5
No. 163 — Aaron Murray (Kansas City Chiefs)
No. 164 — A.J. McCarron (Cincinnati Bengals)
Round 6
No. 178 — Zach Mettenberger (Tennessee Titans)
No. 183 — David Falls (Chicago Bears)
No. 194 — Keith Wenning (Baltimore Ravens)
No. 213 — Tajh Boyd (New York Jets)
No. 214 — Garrett Gilbert (St. Louis Rams)
Round 7
None
Drafted: 9
Solid starters or above: 0
2015
Round 4
No. 103 — Bryce Petty (New York Jets)
Round 5
Brett...