Heading into his third season, Lukas Van Ness is under the microscope

Heading into his third season, Lukas Van Ness is under the microscope
Acme Packing Company Acme Packing Company

The former first round pick needs to show real progress or risk being replaced.

The Lukas Van Ness development strategy playbook seemed clear from the moment he was drafted. A promising, athletic rookie, Van Ness would earn playing time slowly, working his way up from behind the edge rushers already ahead of him.

It’s a common-sense approach, and one we’ve seen play out in Green Bay before. Rashan Gary, now the Packers’ top-dog pass rusher, had to wait his turn behind Za’Darius Smith, Preston Smith, and even Kyler Fackrell before he got a chance to spread his wings. As of 2023, he’d play the role of one of the established veterans ahead of Van Ness, along with Preston Smith, funnily enough. J.J. Enagbare, then heading into his second season, seemed primed to play the Fackrell role — a lightly regarded pass rusher who would only nominally be ahead of the promising first-round pick on the depth chart.

The 2023 season played out according to plan. Van Ness was fourth among edge rushers in snaps as a rookie, putting up modest but not spectacular pressure and sack numbers. The stage seemed set for him to leapfrog Enagbare and surpass Preston Smith as the Packers’ second edge rusher in his second season.

Everything seemed to be aligning for Van Ness’s ascension midway through the 2024 season. The Packers traded Smith to the Pittsburgh Steelers at the deadline, seemingly clearing the decks for Van Ness to take what appeared to be his rightful place.

Except it didn’t work out that way. Whatever snaps were freed up by Smith’s departure weren’t handed to Van Ness. Instead, Brenton Cox and Arron Mosby got more opportunities and largely delivered. Both Cox and Mosby put interesting reps on tape last year as pass rushers, though their size made them liabilities in the run game.

Now Van Ness heads into his third season with an edge rusher battle on the horizon. Few players on the Packers this year will be as closely monitored as Van Ness, who has this final season to make his case before the Packers make their decision on picking up his fifth-year option.

And as he does so, it’s hard to shake the feeling that the Packers are trying to replace him.

No doubt the Packers want Van Ness to succeed, and I still think he can be a useful player. There’s a role available for a burly edge who’s stout against the run and capable of setting the table for other pass rushers. Plenty of defensive ends have made fine careers out of doing just that, and maybe that’s what the Packers have in mind for Van Ness, who’s certainly strong and fairly competent in run defense.

But that would be a bitter pill to swallow when you’re talking about the 13th overall pick, and if the Packers weren’t concerned about Van Ness’s lack of pass production, they probably wouldn’t have drafted two pass rush-oriented edges in this spring’s draft.

Both Barryn Sorrell...