Green Bay Packers cap casualty projections drop for 2026 offseason

Over the Cap has just dropped their cap casualty rankings for the upcoming offseason, which includes four Green Bay Packers in their top 100 players. Only three teams have more plays on the list than the Packers: the Arizona Cardinals (nine), the Minnesota Vikings (seven) and the Washington Commanders (seven).

Personally, I only think that Green Bay will make two cuts. Let’s go ahead and talk about each player’s situation.

#7: Elgton Jenkins, OL (78.6 percent for “negative fate”)

This is the easiest one to predict, as it was obvious based on his 2026 cap hit (and struggles in 2024) that Jenkins was headed for being a cap casualty even going into the 2025 regular season. It’s the reason why he attempted to gain an extension this offseason by holding out, but general manager Brian Gutekunst and cap guru Russ Ball didn’t budge.

Eventually, Jenkins returned to the practice field for the Packers as a center, where he didn’t fare any better than last year, when his slip in play began, at left guard. In Week 11, Jenkins fractured his fibula, more than likely ending his career with the green and gold.

If Green Bay releases Jenkins this offseason, they’ll immediately gain $20 million in cap space. This one is happening. Take it to the bank.

#t-33: Keisean Nixon, CB (65.9 percent)

I wouldn’t hold my breath on this one. I don’t think the team actually has any ambition to move off of Keisean Nixon’s contract.

Here are a couple of things to keep in mind:

• Nixon is only making $5 million in cash next year, about one-fourth of the price of an average veteran starting cornerback on their second contract in the NFL. He’s a very cheap option for the team. Cheap matters to the Packers’ current cap situation A LOT.
• When Trevon Diggs got on the field for the Packers last week, all of his snaps were at right cornerback, the position that Carrington Valentine starts at, not at left cornerback, where Nixon starts.
• Against the Vikings, when the Packers actively tried to keep their most valuable players off the field, the team kept Nixon on the sideline (after the first drive, which he requested to start, according to head coach Matt LaFleur) while safeties Javon Bullard and Evan Williams continued to see action (they could have structured the defense in a way where the opposite was true, based on the personnel they had available to them). The coaching staff would have rather risked a Bullard injury, which happened, going into a win-or-go-home game, rather than Nixon. That’s an important piece of context.

Ultimately, with the Packers’ cap and pick situation (it’s not good) going into 2026, I think the team will have Nixon, Valentine and Nate Hobbs compete at outside cornerback, again, with the possibility of Diggs returning, if the team and his camp can find a number that works for both sides.

I expect that defensive tackle is going to be...