Windy City Gridiron
The Chicago Bears look to extend their lead in the NFC North to a game and a half with two to play with a win over the Green Bay Packers tonight at Soldier Field. I look to continue the winning ways of the prop plays after another profitable day last week when the Bears faced the Cleveland Browns.
Last week’s plays went 2-1, I’m hoping you took my advice and parlayed the Shedeur Sanders to throw an interception bet as well, because while that wasn’t an official play at -180, the bonus bet would have gotten you plus money on any of the other bets and you would have had a far more profitable day than just the 2-1 record which would have returned you just under one unit.
Our season record now sits at 27-15, so without further ado, here are this week’s plays against Green Bay.
We’ve laid low with the Caleb Williams passing props the last few weeks because I didn’t feel like things were quite clicking for a high-volume game, especially with my expectations focusing on the run, but despite the injuries to Rome Odunze and Luther Burden, I feel good about Caleb having a bigger passing day. I think the injuries to Micah Parsons, Evan Williams, and others to the Packers’ defense are going to leave them vulnerable. I think the Bears have an excellent day protecting Williams, and he gets plenty of time to operate in the pocket. I think Williams clears this number, and the Bears have a more productive day passing the football.
We are risking this one a little bit because of the groin issue that Swift has been dealing with. Yes, he’s been dealing with it and still comfortably going over this number most games, but he did leave Wednesday’s practice early with his groin issue, and there’s a chance he may play and be a little more limited in the game, which would crush this bet. I think it’ll probably be okay, and he will get a usual workload. Swift has gone over this number in 5 of his last 6 and 7 of his last 9. There’s no reason to think he doesn’t clear at least 60 yards vs Green Bay, if not 70 or 80.
Alright, this is this week’s “I don’t understand this number” play. DJ Moore has gone over this number 8 times this season, and he certainly has inconsistent games when his usage craters and he gets nowhere near it (he’s had 5 games of 21 receiving yards or under). But you explain to me how, if Caleb Williams throws for 175 yards, Moore doesn’t have at least 50 yards when no Rome Odunze or Luther Burden is playing in this game. Yes, the Bears will utilize 12 personnel and see plenty of looks with Colston Loveland and Cole...
