Big Blue View
The 2-8 New York Giants host the 5-3-1 Green Bay Packers on Sunday. It’s Mike Kafka’s debut as head coach against a Packers team reeling from a 10-7 sludge-fest loss on Monday Night Football against the Green Bay Packers. The Giants are 7-point underdogs, per FanDuel Sportsbook.
The Packers have dropped two consecutive games; they’re Week 9 loss home loss against Carolina (16-13) came after a 35-25 victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers. Green Bay has scored 20 points in the last two games, while surrendering just 26-points on defense.
Green Bay has turned the football over four times in the last two games; three of those turnovers were fumbles. Quarterback Jordan Love only has three interceptions on the season to go along with 13 touchdowns and 2,247 passing yards. Love has completed 68.9% of his passes, averaging 7.9 yards per attempt with an average depth of target (aDOT) of 8.2 yards. His big-time throw rate sits at 5.0%, the seventh highest in the NFL among quarterbacks who have played at least half of their team’s offensive drop backs, while his turnover-worthy play rate is 2.9%
The Packers rank 15th in scoring throughout the NFL, with an average of 23.7 points per game. The average 349.3 yards per game, which ranks 11th in the NFL. The Packers are 9th in passing yards per game (237.4), and they average 111.9 rushing yards per game (20th in NFL).
Matt Lafleur’s offense ranks 11th in the NFL in red zone touchdown percentage — they scored a touchdown on 63.9% of their red zone trips. They’re the best in third-down efficiency, though, with an 47.79% conversion rate. Jordan Love has thrown for an NFL-high 747 yards on third and fourth downs, with an average time to throw for three-seconds on later downs.
NFL Insights highlighted an interesting statistic about Lafleur’s play-calling; 52.7% of Josh Jacobs’ rush attempts this season have come with his quarterback under center, up from 35.5% last season. The Packers were under-center on just 35% of snaps this season.
Since the start of 2024, Jacobs has averaged 4.8 yards per attempt, generated a 45.9% success rate (9th/46 RBs with 50 such carries), and forced an NFL-high 55 missed tackles on runs from shotgun formations, compared to 3.5 yards per attempt, a 37.1% success rate (41st of 57 qualifiers) and 45 missed tackles forced (17th most) from under center formations.
Josh Jacobs has carried the ball 38 times in the red zone this season, the second-most in the NFL, gaining 118 yards and scoring a league-leading 10 touchdowns. Although, outside the red zone, Jacobs averages a putrid 0.8-yards before contact, meaning he is often hit behind or at the line of scrimmage. Still, he averages 2.99 yards after contact with 31 missed tackles forced — the latter stat ranks him eighth in the NFL, tied with Javonte Williams of the Dallas Cowboys.
The Packers’ leading receivers are all injured. Romeo Doubs hurt his chest in Week 10 and reports have...
