The Dallas Cowboys head into the 2025 NFL season as one of the league’s most unpredictable teams regarding the playoffs and Super Bowl.
Following a 7-10 finish in 2024, Dallas has undergone significant changes, starting with the coaching staff and followed by substantial roster adjustments.
Now led by head coach Brian Schottenheimer, the Cowboys aim to forge a new identity and compete for a playoff spot in a challenging yet winnable NFC.
While their Super Bowl odds have plummeted, there’s reason to believe Dallas could be a dark horse contender for a postseason run.
Here’s a comprehensive breakdown of their playoff and Super Bowl outlook, including predictions for the NFC East standings.
As of June 2025, the Dallas Cowboys hold +100000 odds to win Super Bowl LIX, according to FanDuel Sportsbook, an implied probability of just 0.1%.
Their odds of making the playoffs sit around +800, reflecting heavy skepticism from odds-makers after a rough 2024 campaign.
ESPN has the Cowboys odds on a playoff appearance at 30.6%, while their chances of getting to the Super Bowl are at 2.9% and winning the Super Bowl 1.4%.
That said, Dallas still fields a talented roster, especially at the top, and the coaching staff overhaul offers a fresh vision.
In a wide-open NFC, even long shots can get hot at the right time.
The Cowboys made a bold move by promoting Brian Schottenheimer to head coach after his time as offensive coordinator.
Known for his player-friendly approach and offensive creativity, Schottenheimer is implementing a tougher, more competitive culture in Dallas, something that may have been lacking in recent years.
He’s backed by a strong staff:
Schottenheimer’s staff is focused on discipline, daily accountability, and re-energizing the locker room.
Despite some key departures, most notably DeMarcus Lawrence and Zack Martin, the Cowboys still have star power on both sides of the ball.