Hogs Haven
Survey results!!
The Commanders are a popular pick to win today’s NFC Championship game, which will be played on the road against the Philadelphia Eagles this afternoon.
In each week of the regular season and post-season, SB Nation emails surveys to fans of all 32 fan bases. In this week’s national email survey, fans were asked to pick the points-adjusted outcome of the Commanders-Eagles game.
Respondents picked the underdog Commanders to cover the 6.5-point spread by a ratio of about 2-to-1. While picking against the spread is a bit different than predicting outright winners, the response indicates that the majority of respondents either expect Washington to win or finish within one score of the Eagles.
Here at Hogs Haven, we asked a similar poll question. The results were very robust in favor of the Commanders.
72% of Commanders fans predicted an outright win against the Eagles, with only 13% expecting the Eagles to cover the betting point spread.
Commanders fans and Eagles fans were each asked to predict the over/under against 47.5 points. Both fan bases went heavily for the ‘over’.
Each team has played two playoff games. The Commanders won by scores of 23-20 and 45-31, while Philly won by scores of 22-10 and 28-22. With Philly averaging just 25 ppg and Washington averaging 34 points per game in the playoffs, it’s understandable why fans are so bullish on expecting the two teams, who have averaged 59 ppg in the playoffs between them, to go over the mark, but it should be noted that both teams fell short of the mark in the wildcard round, with the Commanders-Bucs game reaching 43 points, while the Philly-Green Bay game reached a total combined score of just 32 points.
There is another game on Sunday to decide which AFC team will get to play the Commanders in the Super Bowl in New Orleans two weeks from today.
In the National email survey, fans again picked the underdog to cover the spread.
With a narrower spread of just 1.5-points, fans were consistent in the ratio of about 2-to-1 in picking the road team here. With such a narrow point spread, this is a strong indication that the fans expect the Bills to win outright, similar to last week’s game in which Buffalo beat the visiting Baltimore Ravens, who were similarly favored by 1.5 points.
The national email survey also asked fans which of the final four teams they would be rooting for to win the Super Bowl. The most popular answer was the Buffalo Bills; the least popular answer was the Philadelphia Eagles. Honestly, I had thought the Commanders might’ve been the sentimental favorite here.
It does look as if fans nationally are not interested in a rematch of Super Bowl LVII, which followed the 2022...
