Thanks to the nflFastR project, Pro Football Focus and NFL NextGen Stats for the timely sources of data.
For those of you new to this, I will publish key QB stats each week judging how well the upcoming opponent QB has performed. Yes, O-Line, receivers, and play-calling impact these numbers but they are primarily QB measures. I will probably modify the charts throughout the season. Commentary will be brief but feel free to let me know in the comments that stats aren’t everything. (click charts for larger view)
Overall, this was a good game for Anthony Richardson but it was far from perfect. His strengths and weaknesses continue to be revealed in his numbers.
DASHBOARD
(Use the right-left arrows to toggle between stats for the week and the season).
- The Colts leaned on the run against a pretty good Patriots run defense and the Colts rushers delivered (29th edp, 4th arsr).
- AR, again, ran the offense from the shotgun and this time faced fewer zone defensive looks (1st sg%, 14th oz%).
- Richardson faced a lot of pressure, but part of that was due to him holding the ball longer than normal (9th pr%, 6th ttt).
- Once again, he has one of the longest average depths on his attempts (2nd adot), but he completed only 1 pass over 10 yards. However, because I add in accepted Defensive Pass Interference calls as completed attempts, he ends up with a 29 yard “completion” that boosts his avg completion depth (5th ay/c).
- Due to 2 DPI calls, I have his completion rate at 53.8% (29th cmp%). Adjusting for depth and other variables gives him a cmp% that is still -2.9% below expected (24th cpoe).
- YAC was extremely low, but adjusting for target depth, it was only -0.2 yards below expected (29th yac, 18th yacoe).
- The low YAC and low completion rate pulls down the completion depth to give a pretty dismal 5.9 yards per attempt (25th ypa) and that is after excluding throw-aways and including the 2 DPIs.
- However, AR did not abandon many pass attempts (29th aa%) and when he did, he earned excellent yardage off of his scrambles (1st yaa). This actually lifted his overall yardage efficiency to 6.0 net yards per dropback, so even though he had a poor ypa, he was about average for the week in ny/d (16th).
- He still had trouble moving the chains (25th 1st%), but the run game helped out with that and he was very effective at getting into the end zone (td%).
He had an excellent passing success rate (8th PSR), which describes his improved consistency. Unfortunately, his turnover problems resurfaced (3rd to%), which drags that consistent play down when measured in raw value (14th EPA/d).
Overall, it was a very good effort. He was consistently good on the shorter passes, with some high value plays sprinkled in. However, some of these numbers demonstrate the same issues I have seen from him...
Stampede Blue
