Stampede Blue
Thanks to the nflFastR project, Pro Football Focus and NFL NextGen Stats for the timely sources of data.
For those of you new to this, I will publish key QB stats each week judging how well the Colts’ QB performed. Yes, O-Line, receivers, and play-calling impact these numbers but they are primarily QB measures. I will probably modify the charts throughout the season. Commentary will be brief but feel free to let me know in the comments that stats aren’t everything. (click charts for larger view)
I guess Week 10 can be considered a bounce-back for Daniel Jones, primarily because he didn’t turn the ball over five times. It wasn’t for lack of trying, though — he still turned it over twice, fumbled out of bounds once, and recovered his own fumble once.
His 17th-ranked EPA efficiency is much lower than his 5th-ranked success rate, mostly because of the strip-sack fumble — a highly negative play. Interestingly, the interception wasn’t all that costly, as it came on 3rd-and-11 with just eight seconds left in the half.
Basically, he had a lot of consistently good plays when he was able to get rid of the ball, but sacks limited his overall value.
His 1st-down conversion rate took a dive, and his yardage efficiency was below average, illustrating his struggles to sustain drives and move the chains.
His 73.1% completion rate shows he was consistently connecting on passes — they just weren’t turning into first downs as often as in previous weeks.
Target and completion depth dropped but was still about league average.
He relies on passing depth more than most QBs — a stark contrast to his New York days, when he leaned heavily on YAC-driven plays.
Tyler Warren edged out Pierce in total yards, but as you would expect, the vertical targets primarily went to Pierce.
It’s nice to have three different receivers all vying for the team lead in receiving yards, but so far, Warren holds the edge.
The majority of targets generated positive value relative to league average — even the shorter routes.
Similar view at the season level.
Jones rebounded from his Week 9 accuracy issues, posting an above-average CPOE.
He was again forced to throw quickly, but even so, he took 7 sacks.
He had moderate success in most areas of the field.
The last two weeks have brought his efficiency back down to earth a bit — but it’s still solid overall.
mouseover definitions: epa/d, median EPA gain in similar game situation (down, distance, etc.)”>arsr, 3 yards to gain in game-neutral situations”>edp, opd, pr%, tip, ttt, adot, ay/c, yac, yacoe, yd/c, ac%, cpoe, aypa, scr%, ta%, sck%, aa%, aay, ny/d, ny/p, 1st%, td%, to%, 0″>qbsrepa/p, adj/pHere’s what happened in week 10:
