Can the Falcons win the NFC South this season?

Can the Falcons win the NFC South this season?
The Falcoholic The Falcoholic

The Atlanta Falcons preseason is now over, and after three games, a series of joint practices, and the already underway 53-man roster cutdown, Atlanta is preparing itself for its Week 1 divisional matchup at home against the Buccaneers.

Here at The Falcoholic, we’ve analyzed every preseason game, every starter’s reps, and predicted which players will make the final regular season roster and contribute to our 2025 playoff push, and over at FanDuel, they’re doing the same thing, and adding in some division title odds for our sports betting pleasure.

If you read our guy Evan Birchfield’s Monday article, you would know FanDuel has Atlanta missing out on the division title for the ninth straight year, but on the bright side, they aren’t too far behind, along with some other categories like making the playoffs and scratching just over 8.5 wins in 2025 (according to them… a Super Bowl is still a far cry away.) So let’s check in on those division title odds from FanDuel, analyze where you should be putting your money, and based on what other NFC South teams looked like in the preseason… could Atlanta beat the odds this season?

2025 pre-season division Title odds

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -105

Atlanta Falcons +200

Carolina Panthers +420

New Orleans Saints +1300

For a comparison, let’s take a look at the odds from FanDuel for the NFC South last year

2024 pre-season division title odds

Atlanta Falcons: +150

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +250

New Orleans Saints: +260

Carolina Panthers: +650

In 2025, Atlanta has +50 worse odds to win the division than in 2024. Last season, the acquisition of high profile players like Kirk Cousins, Justin Simmons, Darnell Mooney, and Matthew Judon made Atlanta the favorite to win the South. This season, with some anticipated growing pains on offense, handing the keys over to a quarterback who’s started just three games in his career, FanDuel stays fairly optimistic about Atlanta’s chances, but they aren’t putting all their chips in one basket… and neither should you. With a quarterback coming off a career year, a second-year back using momentum from last season to propel his name into top 10 conversations, and a defense that largely remains consistent with the exception of key veteran departures like Carlton Davis and Shaquil Barrett, Tampa Bay should definitely be the favorite. Atlanta could be a big and bold bet that wouldn’t sound too far out of left field, but just like they could surprise us and snap the division drought, they could very well disappoint us with another mediocre season.

These odds are based on the draft, offseason, and pre-season games, and let me tell you… it’s been an interesting three weeks for the NFC South. First off, three teams in the division went winless in all three weeks. Atlanta, Carolina, and New Orleans couldn’t quite edge out a victory in any of the matchups. Tampa bay did, winning two games, and their only loss coming against the Bills, a game I will forever remember as...