Buffalo Bills playoff odds & Week 16 NFL power rankings

Buffalo Bills playoff odds & Week 16 NFL power rankings
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The one where the Buffalo Bills held a Boston tee party.

Did the Buffalo Bills prove anything last Sunday against the New England Patriots? Among quite a few things, the Bills reminded the Patriots that they have a lot of work to do to prove they’re a legitimate playoff team.

Though the Bills may still trail New England by a game, and despite facing long odds to six-peat as AFC East Champions, it’s clear that so long as quarterback Josh Allen is at the top of his game, the Patriots would be wise to hold off planning celebrations.

So what if New England wins the East? The Patriots just lost a winter-weather game at home in epic fashion to the only team with a winning record on their schedule. Sure, New England defeated Buffalo at Highmark Stadium back in Week 5. But that was then, and now is closer to the truth of what awaits in the postseason. The truth is that quarterback Drake Maye has yet to lead his team to victory with a fourth-quarter comeback performance.

So what does that mean for the Bills’ latest playoff odds, and what about all the latest batch of NFL power rankings? Let’s dive in to the aggregate that is Buffalo Rumblings’ NFL power rankings roundup. After you take a few minutes reading what others have to say about the Bills, be sure to sound off in the comments!


First up we have the latest ESPN playoff odds for the Bills in four key metrics.

Onward with the ESPN content… Continuing a trend from last week there are more positives developments. Buffalo actually moved down the latter to the four spot, where previously they were at three.

Within the framework of ESPN’s playoff model, Buffalo sits at three in the AFC this week, jumping ahead of the Jacksonville Jaguars. Entering Week 15, the Bills’ odds of making the playoffs now sit at >99% (was 97%); their odds of winning the division jumped to 35% (was 18%). As for earning a playoff bye, Buffalo’s chances there hold steady at 4%, while, interestingly, their odds of making it to the Super Bowl decreased to 15% (was 16%). (ESPN’s latest and full AFC playoff odds chart)

Let’s also take a look at Buffalo’s playoff odds courtesy of The Athletic. In their current 2025 NFL Playoff Simulator, the Bills now has the fourth-best playoff odds in the path to the NFL playoffs, which is interesting when you consider how much better their odds are over any AFC South team.

Now, let’s live in the present and dive into the latest NFL power rankings, passing the mic to hierarchy experts around the country. Ready? (Week 15 Power Rankings for comparison)


ESPN: 5 (up from 6 in Week 15)

Extension candidate: Linebacker Shaq Thompson”

“The Bills have some huge offensive line decisions this offseason, as center Connor McGovern and left guard David Edwards are set to become free agents. But Thompson is...