Buffalo Bills playoff odds & Week 12 NFL power rankings

The Buffalo Bills played a chaotic brand of dominating football against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this past Sunday. It was the sort of game that endears quarterback Josh Allen to his faithful fans, where an ugly turnover or two prove mostly meaningless in the big picture. Most of all, Buffalo fielded a competent passing attack the likes of which has gone missing too many times in 2025.

Their win wasn’t without criticism, and skeptics remain — especially among those who power rank the NFL each week. We’ll skip much of the bravado this round given the Bills play their Week 12 game in a matter of hours.

It’s noteworthy that some writers spent this week mentioning wide receiver Keon Coleman. We’ll refrain from editorializing further on that, but it’s clear his situation is an unavoidable topic right now.

to the parents in the room: Just be aware, if you’re triggered by “six seven,” there’s a lot to be found below.

Before we get to the latest rankings, let’s catch up with the latest ESPN playoff odds for the Bills in four key metrics. Buffalo stays put in fourth, despite the movement in front of them. Though they don’t improve their slotting, the Bills do see some improvement in certain metrics.

Entering Week 11, Buffalo’s odds of making the playoffs jumped back up to 90% (was 86%); their odds of winning the division dropped to 28% (was 29%). As for earning a playoff bye, the Bills’ odds improved to 10% (was 9%), while Buffalo’s odds of making it to the Super Bowl saw a similar improvement to 14% (was 13%).

The Week 15 showdown against the New England Patriots cannot get here soon enough.

Now, let’s live in the present and dive into the latest NFL power rankings, passing the mic to hierarchy experts around the country (a few notwithstanding). Ready? It’s not pretty. (Week 11 Power Rankings for comparison)

ESPN: 6 (up from 7 in Week 11)

“Who’s under the most pressure: Wide receiver Keon Coleman”

“Coleman, the 33rd pick in the 2024 draft, was a healthy scratch for Week 11 after being late to a meeting. The benching marked the third instance of Coleman, 22, missing game time for disciplinary reasons. On the field, he hasn’t popped outside of Week 1, with 24 receptions, 27.3 receiving yards per game and two receiving touchdowns from Weeks 2 to 10. Wide receiver is already a huge need for the Bills, and the rest of the season will go a long way in determining the team’s plan for Coleman in 2026.” — Alaina Getzenberg

NFL.com: 7 (up from 9 in Week 11)

“Josh Allen accounted for his fourth, fifth and sixth touchdowns of the game on the Bills’ three most important drives of the game, fending off the tenacious Bucs for a much-needed win. All is not suddenly pristine in Billsdom after another long day defending the run and with Allen also adding two...