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For the second time in three years, the Kansas City Chiefs (17-2) and Philadelphia Eagles (17-3) meet in the Super Bowl. Just like the first meeting, star receiver AJ Brown will be one of the key players to watch. It is time to continue our Super Bowl odds series with an AJ Brown props prediction and pick.
The Chiefs played with a target on their backs all season but regardless, returned to their third straight Super Bowl. They are coming off a 32-29 win over the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship Game, avenging one of their two losses in the regular season in the process.
The Eagles needed one more playoff game to get back to the Super Bowl and ended up back in the spotlight after a one-year hiatus. Philadelphia took down divisional rival Washington Commanders in the NFC Championship Game in dominant fashion, winning 55-23.
After Brown went viral for reading a book on the bench during the 2024-2025 playoffs, his first two postseason performances immediately drew fan ire. Brown compiled just 24 total receiving yards through the Eagles’ first two playoff games. However, he broke through in the NFC Championship Game, torching the Commanders with six catches for 98 yards and a touchdown. During the regular season, Brown notched 1,079 receiving yards to record the fifth 1,000-yard campaign of his six years in the league.
Here are the Chiefs-Eagles Super Bowl odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
Targets: Over 7.5 (-128)
Targets: Under 7.5 (+100)
Receptions: Over 4.5 (-168)
Receptions: Under 4.5 (+128)
Receiving Yards: Over 70.5 (-110)
Receiving Yards: Under 70.5 (-110)
Longest reception: Over 24.5 yards (-114)
Longest reception: Under 24.5 yards (-114)
Most receiving yards: +190
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For a superstar receiver in the Super Bowl, Brown has a shockingly low reception total at first glance. However, with the Eagles leaning more on Saquon Barkley late in the year, Brown has notched five or more catches in just one of the team’s three playoff games. Overall, he has gone over 4.5 receptions in just two of his past five games — both against the Commanders.
Unlike two of the Eagles’ three postseason opponents thus far, the Chiefs boast a top-10 rushing defense, suggesting Barkley won’t be able to run all over them the way he has done to recent defenses. In a game that is closing with just a 1.5-point spread, Philadelphia and Kansas City are almost certainly destined for a neck-and-neck 60-minute battle to end the year. Brown topped 4.5 receptions in five of the Eagles’ seven one-score games this season.
Final AJ Brown Prediction & Pick: Over 4.5 receptions (-168)
Even if Brown sees more volume than he recently has, he will spend all game going one-on-one against Trent McDuffie. As the Chiefs’ top cornerback,...
