Blogging The Boys
Black Monday has come and gone, and nine teams are looking for new head coaches. But how do those moves compare to the preseason “hot seat” candidates?
In July last year, Sportsbetting.ag published the odds on which NFL head coach would be fired first in 2025. That dubious distinction ended up going to Brian Callahan in Tennessee who took the honors in 2025.
At the time the odds were published, Brian Daboll of the Giants was listed as the most likely head coach to be fired first, but ended up being second. His firing may end up biting the Giants twice every year as he’s interviewing for the Eagles OC position.
So how did the rest of those preseason odds turn out this year? Here’s an overview of what happened to each head coach since the early odds were released.
body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table { border: 1px solid #000 !important; border-collapse: collapse !important; } RankCoachTeamOddsStatus1Brian DabollNYG4/1Second coach fired. A 2-8 start and several fourth-quarter collapses sealed the deal.2Mike McDanielMIA5/1Maybe three talented players on that roster, not enough to win games with.3Shane SteichenIND6/1Surprise of the year: Daniel Jones can play football. But without Jones, Colts went 0-7.4Kevin StefanskiCLE13/2Constant QB drama proved too much for the two-time coach of the year.5Jonathan GannonARI7/1Warning for Dallas: Couldn’t right the defense, finished bottom 10 in defensive EPA/play in all his three seasons.6Zac TaylorCIN8/1All other teams in the division are all looking for new head coaches, 6-11 Bengals soldier on.7Dave CanalesCAR9/1Surprise playoff participant.8Brian CallahanTEN10/1Ended up being the first coach fired. 1-5 season start and 4-19 overall record.9Kyle ShanahanSF16/1One of most injured teams storms to 12-5 record. COTY candidate.10Todd BowlesTB22/1Close one for Bowles, who missed the postseason for the first time in four years.11Matt LaFleurGB25/1Season petered out with four consecutive losses as another defense found out what life without Micah looks like.11Mike TomlinPIT25/1Stepped down from his role after going 0-6 in the playoffs over the last nine seasons.11Sean McVayLA25/1Secure as he’ll ever be in LA.14Kevin O’ConnellMIN40/1May not be able to afford another season that ends without a playoff berth.14Raheem MorrisATL40/1Two successive 8-9 seasons spelled the end for Morris.16Demeco RyansHOU50/1Three winning seasons, three playoff appearances, three stops in the divisional round.16Sean McDermottBUF50/19 seasons in, 8 of which with Josh Allen, but no Super Bowl anywhere.18John HarbaughBAL66/1Surprise ending in Baltimore.18Mike MacdonaldSEA66/1Can he get DeMarcus Lawrence a Super Bowl ring?18Sean PaytonDEN66/1Payton looks to have the Broncos on track for the next few years.21Ben JohnsonCHI100/1The Cowboys didn’t even want to interview him and he lapped them in one year.21Brian SchottenheimerDAL100/1No.2 offense by yards, No. 30 defense by yards allowed. Not the complementary football we were promised.21Dan CampbellDET100/1Losing two coordinators in one year (Ben Johnson, Aaron Glenn) proved too much.21Dan QuinnWAS100/1Injuries derailed 2025, but expecattions are high for 2026. Too high?21Jim HarbaughLAC100/1Can the Chargers do more than just lose in the wild card round?26Aaron GlennNYJ150/1Lots of optimism heading into the season, followed by a rude awakening. Now the No. 2 pick awaits.26Kellen MooreNO150/1Tough job, but our boy did...
