We’re a month into the college football season and most teams have played four games. That’s enough data to sift through the noise and start drawing some trend lines, making note of how NFL prospects are playing. We can begin setting aside our priors based on last year and focus more on how they’ve played so far this year, for better or worse.
Today I’m checking in with an update on how next year’s quarterback class is beginning to shape up. I had seven quarterbacks in my summer Top 50 Big Board. Today, I have updated projections on all of those passers, as well as three new names who are making some noise in the class. For all of them, I noted whether they are stock up, stock neutral, or stock down, and where they are trending to be taken in April’s draft.
These prospects aren’t listed in any particular order, so don’t think it reflects an updated ranking of mine. If you’re a fan of an NFL team that needs a new quarterback or you’re just interested in how these draft classes transform throughout the season, this article is for you.
A transfer from Washington State who became a draft darling over the summer, Mateer was a three-star recruit who spent his freshman season backing up current Titans first-round QB Cam Ward. When Ward transferred to Miami last year, Mateer exploded onto the scene, throwing for 3,139 yards and 29 touchdowns and rushing for 826 yards and 15 touchdowns. So far in 2025, he’s been better in practically every metric, throwing for 1,215 yards and six touchdowns with three interceptions on a 67.4-percent completion rate. He’s added 190 yards and five touchdowns on the ground.
Mateer was an exciting player last year at Washington State, but the question with him was always whether his playing style would translate to the SEC. So far, so good. His big-time throw rate of 4.7 percent is right where you want it to be and his 2.5-percent turnover-worthy play rate is in an acceptable range, especially for someone who attempts the kinds of throws Mateer does.
The current Heisman favorite, Mateer thrives under pressure. He picks defenses apart if they sit back and allow him to, but he punishes defenses when they blitz, too. Mateer’s mastery of off-platform, alternate arm angle throws gives him a ton of versatility in his releases, which he uses to beat the rush and find receivers in tight windows. I’ve been extremely impressed with how Mateer’s handled the jump in competition and he’s trending towards being a first-round pick.
A three-star high school recruit, Maiava committed to UNLV and redshirted initially before taking over as the starter as a redshirt freshman in 2023. He threw for 3,085 yards with 17 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, adding 277 rushing yards and three touchdowns on the ground. A coveted player in the 2024 transfer portal cycle, Maiava transferred to...