Silver And Black Pride
The Raiders are bad, maybe worse then bad, actually year they are worse then bad. Las Vegas was dismantled by the Chiefs 31-0 handing Andy Reid his first ever shutout as the Chiefs head coach. Las Vegas didn’t break 100 yards of total offense, their punter had 2x the number of punts as they had first downs. The Chiefs benched their starters for the entire 4th quarter, and they went into victory formation with 2:36 left while Las Vegas held 3 timeouts. It has to be better than 2024 though right, right? No. The 2025 Raiders have lost by 17 (Commanders), 34 (Colts), and 31 (Chiefs). The 2024 Raiders three largest losses were 15 (Dolphins/Bucs), 17 (Bengals), and 19 (Steelers). They scored 10 or more points in all but 1 game with the 2025 Raiders logging 3 such games in only 7 total games.
The 2024 Las Vegas Raiders held a 2-5 record through the same point last season before going to end the year at 4-13, the Raiders are also on pace to finish 4-13 though ESPN’s FPI has them a projected 3-14 which would be the Raiders worse finish in over a decade. Record aside, surely the Raiders are doing better, well they slightly are. The 2024 Raiders had a -125 point differential, the 2025 Raiders are on pace to have a -187 point differential after their 31-0 blowout. Surely, things get better in terms of offensive and defensive rankings, they slightly are. The 2024 Raiders ranked 29th on offense and 26th on defense, in 2025 the Raiders now rank 27th on offense and 24th on defense (were 23rd on offense and 18th defensively prior to this week). When you dive into the actual metrics, things do not look great however.
The 2024 Raiders logged 30 offensive turnovers, the 2025 Raiders are on pace to turn the ball over 33 times this year. The Raiders allowed 50 sacks in 2024, and are on pace to allow 52 in 2025. They punted 67 times in 2024, and after today’s 6 punts are on pace to punt 65 times this season so there’s a slight improvement, though not necessarily due to 3 more projected turnovers. Looking past these metrics, the Raiders Avg/Plays per drive is on pace to fall from 5.8 in 2024 to 5.4 in 2025, on those drives they are projected to fall again from 26.9 yds/drive to 24.1 yds/drive which would be the lowest in the NFL in the last two seasons. They are projected to throw 18 passing TD compared to 19 in 2025 and rush for 6 touchdowns compared to 10 in 2025. The offensive line is currently holding a 21.5% pressure rate, which is higher than the Raiders 19.7% pressure rate in 2024. Their offensive EPA/play is at -0.278 below the 2024 Raiders -0.253 and their success rate of 47% is lower than the 2024 Raiders 52%. In all, the Raiders offensive regression could be attributed to the loss of Brock Bowers,...
